Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.040692 0.044230 0.047796 0.051652 0.055698 0.059811 0.064303
2025-10-05 0.034203 0.039348 0.044708 0.050687 0.057145 0.063888 0.071437
2025-10-12 0.029982 0.036309 0.043101 0.050879 0.059486 0.068666 0.079147
2025-10-19 0.026927 0.034177 0.042170 0.051537 0.062114 0.073597 0.086918
2025-10-26 0.024437 0.032409 0.041417 0.052192 0.064577 0.078229 0.094277
2025-11-02 0.020978 0.029212 0.038770 0.050456 0.064139 0.079456 0.097702
2025-11-09 0.018688 0.027213 0.037352 0.049987 0.065019 0.082064 0.102596
2025-11-16 0.016804 0.025556 0.036209 0.049724 0.066037 0.084754 0.107519
2025-11-23 0.015979 0.025163 0.036547 0.051192 0.069065 0.089751 0.115096
2025-11-30 0.015096 0.024618 0.036638 0.052309 0.071638 0.094196 0.122024
2025-12-07 0.014120 0.023874 0.036415 0.052989 0.073646 0.097950 0.128132
2025-12-14 0.012992 0.022840 0.035755 0.053065 0.074873 0.100745 0.133088
2025-12-21 0.012372 0.022498 0.036004 0.054322 0.077607 0.105418 0.140376
2025-12-28 0.011034 0.021043 0.034707 0.053541 0.077769 0.106968 0.143934
2026-01-04 0.010201 0.020263 0.034275 0.053847 0.079270 0.110131 0.149426
2026-01-11 0.009585 0.019762 0.034190 0.054582 0.081296 0.113929 0.155684
2026-01-18 0.009008 0.019280 0.034100 0.055287 0.083270 0.117659 0.161865
2026-01-25 0.007727 0.017582 0.032209 0.053499 0.081980 0.117302 0.163029
2026-02-01 0.006936 0.016613 0.031312 0.053019 0.082348 0.118983 0.166671
2026-02-08 0.006270 0.015796 0.030594 0.052749 0.082965 0.120958 0.170663
2026-02-15 0.006109 0.015844 0.031163 0.054274 0.085956 0.125939 0.178390
2026-02-22 0.005868 0.015732 0.031477 0.055434 0.088463 0.130310 0.185374
2026-03-01 0.005536 0.015427 0.031479 0.056139 0.090357 0.133905 0.191396